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Coronavirus: R number 'lower than thought' before lockdown eased in England


The rate of coronavirus infections in the community in England was significantly reduced before lockdown eased in May, according to a government-commissioned study. Imperial College research showed there were, on average, 13 positive cases for every 10,000 people. This means the R number was lower than thought at 0.57, the study suggests. But the figure does not take into account infections in care homes and hospitals at the time. Calculated using this information, the national overall reproduction number - or R - was estimated to be between 0.7 and 1 during May. The study of 120,000 volunteers also suggested young adults aged 18 to 24 were more likely to test positive. The researchers said this could be due to young people having more social contacts over lockdown. Health Secretary Matt Hancock said the findings showed the impact of lockdown.

BBC - July 15, 2020

View the full story here: https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-53414363